MLB Recap · June 1, 2024

Colorado Rockies at Los Angeles Dodgers: Final Score & Recap

COL1
Final
LAD4

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
COL010000000192
LAD02011000-4110

The Story

The Los Angeles Dodgers defeated the Colorado Rockies 4-1 on June 1, 2024, at Dodger Stadium, a result that moved the DiamondIQ model's estimate of a home win from 76% before first pitch to 100% by the final out. The game's early innings proved decisive, with Los Angeles doing the bulk of its damage in the second and fourth frames against Rockies starter Cal Quantrill. Colorado managed nine hits but converted just one run, with two errors compounding its offensive inefficiency against a Dodgers staff that largely controlled the night.

The second inning produced the game's single biggest play by win-probability impact, as Jason Heyward laced a double off Quantrill that shifted the DiamondIQ model 8.4 percentage points in the Dodgers' favor. Colorado briefly answered with a run of its own in the top half of that inning, but a Sean Bouchard strikeout against Yoshinobu Yamamoto swung win probability 7.4 points back toward Los Angeles, effectively neutralizing the threat. The fourth inning brought another damaging sequence for the Rockies, with Enrique Hernández singling for a 7.7-point swing in the Dodgers' direction, though Gavin Lux grounding into a double play trimmed that momentum by 7.0 points and kept the margin from widening further.

Heyward finished as the game's most impactful offensive performer, generating a cumulative 9.7% WPA and a RE24 of plus-0.7 to pace the Dodgers. Teoscar Hernández contributed a plus-3.6% WPA, while Bouchard's plus-3.0% WPA reflected the value his early out provided to Los Angeles by ending a Colorado rally. On the pitching side, Yamamoto led all pitchers with a plus-6.1% WPA, supported by Daniel Hudson at plus-5.0% and Nick Mears at plus-4.9%, a trio that collectively shut down whatever offensive chances Colorado could generate after the second inning.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025COL bats firstFinalLAD win %COL win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 76.4% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Jason Heyward Double
Bot 2nd · off Cal Quantrill
+8.4%
Bot 4th · off Cal Quantrill
+7.7%
Sean Bouchard Strikeout
Top 2nd · off Yoshinobu Yamamoto
+7.4%
Gavin Lux Grounded Into DP
Bot 4th · off Cal Quantrill
-7.0%
Freddie Freeman Groundout
Bot 1st · off Cal Quantrill
-6.8%

Top Batters by WPA

Jason Heyward+9.7%+0.7 RE24
Teoscar Hernández+3.6%+0.4 RE24
Sean Bouchard+3.0%-0.5 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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