MLB Recap · May 29, 2024

Philadelphia Phillies at San Francisco Giants: Final Score & Recap

PHI6
Final
SF1

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
PHI1100200206141
SF000000001160

The Story

The Philadelphia Phillies handed the San Francisco Giants a decisive 6-1 defeat at Oracle Park on May 29, 2024, building their advantage steadily across nine innings behind dominant pitching and timely hitting. The DiamondIQ model had entered the game assigning the Giants a 36% chance of winning at home, a figure that eroded inning by inning before closing at 0% as Philadelphia collected 14 hits to San Francisco's 6.

The game's most consequential swing came in the top of the fifth, when Nick Castellanos connected on a home run off Kyle Harrison that shifted win probability by plus 10.8 points in Philadelphia's favor, the single largest play of the contest. Alec Bohm had added to that same inning's damage with a double off Harrison worth plus 5.3 points. On the San Francisco side, the model's biggest negative swings came from a Wilmer Flores strikeout against Cristopher Sánchez in the third, costing the Giants 8.7 points of win probability, and a Tyler Fitzgerald ground into a double play off Gregory Soto in the seventh that erased another 7.2 points, snuffing out any meaningful rally attempts. Philadelphia added two more runs in the eighth before San Francisco plated its lone run in the ninth to avoid a shutout.

Castellanos finished as the top batter by WPA at plus 14.1 with a RE24 of plus 1.4, while Cristian Pache contributed plus 5.8 WPA and Heliot Ramos added plus 5.1 WPA alongside a RE24 of plus 1.3. On the mound, Cristopher Sánchez was the clear standout, posting a remarkable plus 25.1 WPA as he stifled the Giants offense across his outing. Gregory Soto and Luke Jackson each contributed positive WPA in relief, completing a thoroughly controlled performance by the Philadelphia pitching staff.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025PHI bats firstFinalSF win %PHI win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 35.9% → final 0%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Nick Castellanos Home Run
Top 5th · off Kyle Harrison
+10.8%
Wilmer Flores Strikeout
Bot 3rd · off Cristopher Sánchez
-8.7%
Tyler Fitzgerald Grounded Into DP
Bot 7th · off Gregory Soto
-7.2%
Edmundo Sosa Flyout
Top 4th · off Kyle Harrison
-5.5%
Alec Bohm Double
Top 5th · off Kyle Harrison
+5.3%

Top Batters by WPA

Nick Castellanos+14.1%+1.4 RE24
Cristian Pache+5.8%+0.5 RE24
Heliot Ramos+5.1%+1.3 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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