Cleveland Guardians at Colorado Rockies: Final Score & Recap

The Colorado Rockies defeated the Cleveland Guardians 7-4 on May 29, 2024, at Coors Field, erasing what had been an early Cleveland lead with a decisive six-run second inning that effectively ended the contest. The DiamondIQ model entered the game giving Colorado just a 26% chance of winning, but by the time the second inning concluded, that figure had climbed toward certainty, finishing at 100%.

The second inning was the gravitational center of the entire game. Cleveland had taken a 2-1 lead after the first, but Colorado's response was overwhelming. Brendan Rodgers delivered the inning's signature blow, a home run off Logan Allen that added 10.6% to Colorado's win probability. Hunter Goodman followed with a single off Allen worth 8.3%, and Jacob Stallings contributed a double good for 7.0%. Even a flyout from Elehuris Montero proved consequential in context, registering a 15.6% win-probability swing as Colorado built the kind of cushion that Cleveland's two-run ninth could not meaningfully threaten. On the other side, Andrés Giménez's bunt groundout off Ty Blach in the top of the second cost Cleveland 5.3% in win probability, a missed opportunity to add to their early advantage at a critical moment.

Elehuris Montero led all position players with a 18.7% WPA on the night, while Rodgers posted 10.4% and Goodman 7.9%, the three Rockies bats collectively accounting for the bulk of Colorado's offensive damage. On the mound, Ty Blach was the game's most valuable pitcher by the DiamondIQ model's estimate, contributing 20.4% in win probability added as he navigated the Guardians lineup and protected the lead Colorado built in that pivotal second frame.