Cleveland Guardians at Milwaukee Brewers: Final Score & Recap

The Cleveland Guardians and Milwaukee Brewers played to a 3-3 tie on March 6, 2024, at American Family Fields of Phoenix, with the DiamondIQ model's estimate moving from a 54% pre-game home win probability to 0% at the final out, reflecting the deadlocked result. Cleveland built a 3-0 lead through the first four innings, scoring once each in the first, second, and fourth frames before Milwaukee rallied for three runs across the fifth and sixth innings to even the score.

The pivotal sequence came in the bottom of the fifth, when Eric Haase connected for a home run off Carlos Carrasco that shifted win probability by 19.3 percentage points in Milwaukee's favor, the single largest swing of the afternoon. Carrasco was touched again in the sixth when Brice Turang's fielder's choice moved the needle another 9.0 points toward the Brewers to complete the comeback. On Cleveland's side, Chase DeLauter provided the most meaningful offensive contribution earlier in the game, as his fourth-inning single off Joel Payamps generated a 10.8-point win-probability gain for the Guardians. A key moment that limited Milwaukee's damage came in the third, when Christian Yelich grounded out against Tyler Zuber, a play that swung 8.7 points toward Cleveland. In the bottom of the ninth, Luis Lara's strikeout against Erik Sabrowski added 11.0 points for the Brewers, though it was not enough to force a decisive outcome.

Among the standout performers, Eric Haase led all batters with a plus-13.4 WPA and a plus-1.3 RE24, while Oliver Dunn contributed plus-9.4 WPA and plus-0.9 RE24, and Brayan Rocchio added plus-9.0 WPA. On the mound, Taylor Clarke was the most impactful arm of the afternoon at plus-17.3 WPA, followed by Triston McKenzie at plus-14.4 and Enoli Paredes at plus-13.5. Cleveland and Milwaukee each committed one error and combined for eleven hits across nine innings of spring work.