Cleveland Guardians at Los Angeles Dodgers: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLE | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 0 |
| LAD | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | 6 | 9 | 1 |
The Story
The Los Angeles Dodgers defeated the Cleveland Guardians 6-4 on March 1, 2024 at Camelback Ranch, with the DiamondIQ model's estimate moving from a 54 percent pre-game home win probability to a final certainty of 100 percent, a shift driven almost entirely by one swing in the bottom of the eighth inning.
The game was a tightly contained affair through seven frames. Cleveland generated its most significant offensive moment in the top of the fifth, when David Fry singled off Nabil Crismatt to push the DiamondIQ model's estimate 14.0 percentage points in the Guardians' favor, and the visitors eventually plated two runs in that inning to take a lead into the late innings. The Guardians added two more in the top of the eighth on a Petey Halpin triple off J.P. Feyereisen, which added 12.9 percentage points to Cleveland's win probability, putting Los Angeles in a precarious position heading into the home half.
The bottom of the eighth unraveled entirely for Cleveland reliever Tyler Zuber. A Joe Vetrano walk shifted the model 12.1 points toward Los Angeles, a Brendon Davis single added another 9.6 points, and then Austin Gauthier delivered the decisive blow, a home run that swung the DiamondIQ model a staggering 63.6 percentage points and effectively ended the game. Gauthier finished as the game's most impactful player with a combined WPA of plus-59.0 and an RE24 of plus-3.1. Shohei Ohtani contributed a plus-11.1 WPA on the offensive side, while on the mound Cade Smith led Dodgers pitchers with a plus-9.7 WPA, followed by Tyler Glasnow at plus-8.2 and Jaime Barria at plus-7.9.