Los Angeles Angels at Colorado Rockies: Final Score & Recap

The Colorado Rockies defeated the Los Angeles Angels 3-1 on February 28, 2024, at Salt River Fields at Talking Stick, with all of the game's meaningful run-scoring concentrated in the second and third innings. The DiamondIQ model entered the game giving Colorado a 54% win probability as the home side, and that figure climbed steadily toward its final mark of 100% as the Rockies built and protected their lead through nine frames. Colorado generated its decisive advantage in the bottom of the second, where Sean Bouchard's double off Tyler Anderson represented the single most impactful offensive play of the game, shifting win probability 9.9 points in the Rockies' favor. Ryan McMahon then added a single off Carlos Estévez in the bottom of the third for another 8.9-point swing, extending and reinforcing Colorado's cushion early.

The Angels' inability to convert on offense proved equally decisive. Brandon Drury grounded into a double play against Ty Blach in the top of the fifth, erasing a 9.5-point swing's worth of potential, and Jason Martin's groundout double play in the top of the sixth cost Los Angeles another 10.5 percentage points of win probability. Mickey Moniak's double in the top of the ninth added 5.7 points for the Angels, but the rally came too late to threaten the outcome. Los Angeles finished with nine hits but two errors contributed to their inability to generate consistent pressure.

Ty Blach was the standout performer of the game by a wide margin, posting a WPA of plus-17.1% for Colorado with his work inducing those critical double plays. Riley Pint and Justin Lawrence provided additional bullpen support worth 8.1% and 7.2% respectively. On the offensive side, Ryan McMahon led all batters with a WPA of plus-9.6% and a RE24 of plus-1.0, while Anthony Rendon and Taylor Ward each contributed plus-8.9% and plus-8.7% WPA respectively, each also posting a RE24 of plus-1.0 in the Rockies' controlled victory.