MLB Recap · February 27, 2024

Chicago White Sox at Los Angeles Dodgers: Final Score & Recap

CWS6
Final
LAD9

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
CWS1003001016101
LAD00102024-9120

The Story

The Los Angeles Dodgers defeated the Chicago White Sox 9-6 at Camelback Ranch on February 27, 2024, a game that began in relative balance but shifted decisively toward the home side as it progressed. The DiamondIQ model opened with a 54 percent pre-game win probability for Los Angeles and closed at 100 percent, reflecting how thoroughly the Dodgers controlled the final stages of the contest. Chicago showed some life in the fourth inning when Paul DeJong connected on a home run off Michael Grove, a swing that added 19.7 percent to the White Sox win probability and briefly made it a competitive afternoon. The White Sox carried a 4-1 lead into the fifth before Los Angeles began chipping away, and what had looked like a road-team advantage evaporated across the middle and late innings.

The game's turning point arrived in the bottom of the seventh, when Ryan Ward drove a double off Andrew Pérez, a hit that shifted the win probability by 26.0 percent in the Dodgers' favor and stood as the single largest swing of the contest. That same inning, Travis Swaggerty's strikeout against Pérez moved the needle 11.6 percent back toward Chicago, underscoring how tightly contested that frame was before Los Angeles ultimately pulled ahead. Shohei Ohtani had already done damage in the fifth, launching a home run off Dominic Leone for a 20.6 percent win-probability swing, and the eighth inning effectively closed the door when Chris Okey homered off Garrett Schoenle for a 20.2 percent shift.

Among the standout performers by the DiamondIQ model's accounting, Okey led all position players with a WPA of plus-28.3 percent and a RE24 of plus-3.3, while Ward contributed plus-22.8 percent WPA and plus-1.2 RE24. Ohtani added plus-17.6 percent WPA and a RE24 of plus-1.5 despite his team trailing at the point of his home run. On the pitching side, Adisyn Coffey paced the Dodgers staff with a plus-8.2 percent WPA, followed closely by Chad Kuhl at plus-7.9 percent and Blake Treinen at plus-6.0 percent, a trio that helped Los Angeles secure the final margin.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025CWS bats firstFinalLAD win %CWS win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 54% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Ryan Ward Double
Bot 7th · off Andrew Pérez
+26.0%
Shohei Ohtani Home Run
Bot 5th · off Dominic Leone
+20.6%
Chris Okey Home Run
Bot 8th · off Garrett Schoenle
+20.2%
Paul DeJong Home Run
Top 4th · off Michael Grove
+19.7%
Travis Swaggerty Strikeout
Bot 7th · off Andrew Pérez
-11.6%

Top Batters by WPA

Chris Okey+28.3%+3.3 RE24
Ryan Ward+22.8%+1.2 RE24
Shohei Ohtani+17.6%+1.5 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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