Seattle Mariners at San Francisco Giants: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 15 | 2 |
| SF | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 0 |
The Story
The Seattle Mariners and San Francisco Giants played to a 10-10 tie on February 27, 2024, at Scottsdale Stadium, a result the DiamondIQ model reflected with a final win probability of 0% for either side after opening with a 54% pre-game lean toward the Giants at home. Seattle generated early momentum with a three-run second inning and a three-run fourth, with Michael Chavis delivering the biggest offensive blow of the game's middle portion, a home run off Amir Garrett in the top of the fourth that swung win probability 17.5 points in Seattle's favor. San Francisco countered with a five-run first and continued to hang around, setting up a chaotic ninth inning that ultimately decided the final shape of the game.
The final frame produced the sharpest probability swings of the afternoon. Chase Pinder drew a walk off Stefan Raeth that shifted the DiamondIQ model's estimate 17.5 points toward San Francisco, and Otto Lopez then delivered a forceout that moved the needle another 24.3 points in the Giants' favor as they pushed across a run to level the score at ten. Cooper Hummel's flyout off Raeth cost San Francisco 17.0 points of win probability and was among the game's most damaging individual outs. Earlier, David Villar's groundout off Juan Burgos in the bottom of the eighth had already erased 22.1 points from San Francisco's ledger, a moment that proved critical in keeping the game within Seattle's reach.
Among the standout performers by DiamondIQ metrics, Lopez led all batters with a combined WPA of plus 37.0% and a RE24 of plus 1.2, while Trenton Brooks contributed plus 28.1% WPA and plus 1.5 RE24 and Ismael Munguia added plus 24.8% WPA alongside a team-high plus 1.7 RE24. On the pitching side, Burgos was the top-graded arm with a plus 22.5% WPA, followed by Luke Jackson at plus 5.3% and Trent Thornton at plus 5.2%. Seattle's 15 hits to San Francisco's nine underscored a meaningful edge in contact production, though two Mariners errors kept the Giants viable throughout a game that ultimately finished without a winner.