Milwaukee Brewers at Los Angeles Angels: Final Score & Recap

The Los Angeles Angels defeated the Milwaukee Brewers 6-4 on February 27, 2024, at Tempe Diablo Stadium, with the DiamondIQ model's estimate moving from a 54 percent pre-game home win probability all the way to 100 percent by the final out. Los Angeles built its advantage early, doing the most critical damage in the second inning when Zach Neto delivered a two-run double off Hoby Milner, a swing that shifted win probability 13.5 points in the Angels' favor. Neto added to his impact in the fourth, ripping a triple off Bryan Hudson that added another 9.6 points, giving Los Angeles a cushion that Milwaukee could never fully overcome.

The Brewers made a push in the fifth when Oliver Dunn doubled off Adam Kolarek to drive momentum 12.1 points toward Milwaukee, and the visitors eventually plated two runs that inning to cut into the deficit. However, any late hope evaporated in the top of the eighth when Gregory Barrios grounded into a double play off Travis MacGregor, a sequence that swung win probability 16.4 points against the Brewers and effectively closed the door. An error on Charles Leblanc in the bottom of the eighth then added an insurance run for Los Angeles, shifting another 13.3 points toward the home side.

Neto was the clear standout performer of the afternoon, finishing with a combined WPA of plus-20.6 and an RE24 of plus-2.7, his two extra-base hits serving as the spine of the Angels' offense. Leblanc contributed plus-15.7 WPA and a plus-1.4 RE24 despite reaching base via an error, while Taylor Ward added plus-7.1 WPA and a plus-1.4 RE24. On the mound, Caden Dana led all pitchers with plus-15.8 WPA, supported by Travis MacGregor at plus-10.8, as Los Angeles held Milwaukee to four runs on seven hits while committing zero errors against the Brewers' four.