MLB Recap · February 27, 2024

Oakland Athletics at Cleveland Guardians: Final Score & Recap

OAK11
Final
CLE2

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
OAK01006220011112
CLE000100010252

The Story

The Oakland Athletics handed the Cleveland Guardians a lopsided 11-2 defeat on February 27, 2024, at Goodyear Ballpark, with the DiamondIQ model's estimate of Cleveland's win probability collapsing from 54% before first pitch to 0% by game's end. Oakland's offense was largely quiet through the first four innings before erupting for six runs in the top of the fifth, a frame that effectively ended any competitive tension. The Guardians managed their lone notable threat in the bottom of the fourth, where José Ramírez's single off Michael Kelly shifted win probability by +11.4 percentage points from Cleveland's perspective, and Estevan Florial's walk added another +4.6 points, but Oakland's bullpen kept the damage to a single run and the Guardians never mounted another serious challenge.

The fifth inning was where Oakland put the game away decisively. Yohel Pozo's home run off Jaime Barria was the single most impactful play of the contest, swinging win probability by +19.0 percentage points in the Athletics' favor, and Nick Allen followed later in the frame with a triple off Tyler Thornton that added another +14.0 points. Lawrence Butler's single off Thornton contributed an additional +9.2-point swing, underscoring just how thoroughly Oakland's lineup dismantled Cleveland's pitching in that stretch. Oakland added two runs each in the sixth and seventh to finish with 11, scattering those runs across 11 hits against a Guardians staff that posted two errors on the afternoon.

Pozo led all players by WPA, finishing at +20.7% with a RE24 of +1.3, while Allen posted the game's best RE24 at +3.0 to accompany his +15.1% WPA. On the mound, Hunter Gaddis was the most valuable arm by the DiamondIQ model's estimate, contributing +9.9% WPA, with JP Sears close behind at +9.5% and Osvaldo Bido adding +5.6%. Cleveland's pitching staff had no individual standout on the positive side, leaving the Guardians with a result that matched the final win-probability figure precisely.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025OAK bats firstFinalCLE win %OAK win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 54% → final 0%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Yohel Pozo Home Run
Top 5th · off Jaime Barria
+19.0%
Nick Allen Triple
Top 5th · off Tyler Thornton
+14.0%
José Ramírez Single
Bot 4th · off Michael Kelly
+11.4%
Lawrence Butler Single
Top 5th · off Tyler Thornton
+9.2%
Bot 4th · off Michael Kelly
+4.6%

Top Batters by WPA

Yohel Pozo+20.7%+1.3 RE24
Nick Allen+15.1%+3.0 RE24
José Ramírez+10.2%+0.9 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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