Seattle Mariners at Cincinnati Reds: Final Score & Recap

The Seattle Mariners blanked the Cincinnati Reds 2-0 on February 26, 2024, at Goodyear Ballpark, scoring all of their runs in a decisive eighth inning while holding Cincinnati to just one hit across nine frames. The DiamondIQ model opened the game with Cincinnati holding a 54% win probability, but that figure fell to 0% by the final out as Seattle's pitching staff kept the Reds off the board throughout.

The game's defining moment came in the top of the eighth, when Cole Young delivered a double off Tyler Gilbert that swung win probability by +34.4 percentage points, the single largest play of the contest. That hit served as the catalyst for the two-run frame that provided Seattle's entire margin. On the other side of the ledger, Ty France's ground into a double play in the fourth inning off Lyon Richardson represented the biggest negative swing for Seattle at -8.7 percentage points, stalling what could have been an earlier breakthrough. Edwin Arroyo's strikeout in the bottom of the eighth off Reid VanScoter (-7.4%) kept Cincinnati from mounting any late response, and Austin Callahan closed the door in the ninth, recording a strikeout that added +14.4 percentage points to Seattle's win probability.

Cole Young finished as the game's top performer by the DiamondIQ model's estimate, posting a +30.2% WPA and +1.5 RE24 on the strength of that pivotal eighth-inning hit. Austin Callahan contributed a +10.7% WPA in his relief appearance, while Cole Tucker added +5.4% WPA. On the pitching side, Lyon Richardson led Cincinnati's staff with a +11.0% WPA, and Seattle's Austin Voth was close behind at +10.9%, with Joey Krehbiel also contributing +8.3% WPA to the shutout effort.