MLB Recap · February 25, 2024

Chicago White Sox at Arizona Diamondbacks: Final Score & Recap

CWS0
Final
AZ5

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
CWS000000000020
AZ00101111-5110

The Story

The Arizona Diamondbacks shut out the Chicago White Sox 5-0 on February 25, 2024, at Salt River Fields at Talking Stick, building their lead methodically with single runs in the third, fifth, sixth, seventh, and eighth innings while holding Chicago to just two hits and no errors. The DiamondIQ model's estimate opened with Arizona as a 54 percent favorite and finished at 100 percent as the D-backs never trailed.

The game's most decisive sequence came in the top of the fifth, when Zach DeLoach grounded into a strikeout double play off Luke Albright, a play that carried a win-probability swing of negative 10.0 percent for Chicago and effectively extinguished any chance the White Sox had of changing the complexion of the game. On the Arizona side, the bot third inning set the tone early, as Jake McCarthy singled off Bryan Shaw for a plus-7.2 percent swing, though Joc Pederson grounded into a double play moments later to partially offset the damage at minus-6.3 percent. Christian Walker then added a double off Jimmy Lambert in the fourth for plus-5.8 percent, and Ketel Marte singled off Deivi Garcia in the fifth for plus-5.2 percent, continuing Arizona's steady accumulation of run-scoring opportunities.

Marte and McCarthy led all position players by the DiamondIQ model's estimate, finishing with WPA figures of plus-10.8 percent and plus-10.7 percent respectively, with Marte also posting the top RE24 among hitters at plus-1.3. On the mound, Luke Albright was the most impactful arm of the afternoon at plus-12.9 percent WPA, followed by Humberto Castellanos at plus-11.1 percent and Jonathan Cannon at plus-6.7 percent, a trio that collectively suffocated a White Sox lineup that never mounted a serious threat across nine innings.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025CWS bats firstFinalAZ win %CWS win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 54% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Zach DeLoach Strikeout Double Play
Top 5th · off Luke Albright
-10.0%
Jake McCarthy Single
Bot 3rd · off Bryan Shaw
+7.2%
Joc Pederson Grounded Into DP
Bot 3rd · off Bryan Shaw
-6.3%
Christian Walker Double
Bot 4th · off Jimmy Lambert
+5.8%
Ketel Marte Single
Bot 5th · off Deivi García
+5.2%

Top Batters by WPA

Ketel Marte+10.8%+1.3 RE24
Jake McCarthy+10.7%+0.7 RE24
Christian Walker+4.4%+0.4 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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