Minnesota Twins at Boston Red Sox: Final Score & Recap

The Boston Red Sox defeated the Minnesota Twins 8-6 at JetBlue Park on February 25, 2024, in a game that appeared lopsided early before Minnesota mounted a late charge that ultimately fell short. The DiamondIQ model's estimate opened with Boston holding a 54% win probability as the home side, and that figure climbed steadily to 100% by the final out.

Boston did its heaviest damage in the bottom of the second inning, plating five runs against John Stankiewicz, with Rafael Devers providing the biggest blow of that frame via a home run that shifted win probability by plus-14.3 percentage points. The Red Sox added a run in the third to push their lead to six, and the game looked well in hand through six innings. Minnesota's most significant counter came in the top of the seventh, when a Will Holland hit by pitch off Jordan DiValerio swung win probability by plus-16.7 points for the Twins, and a Jose Salas fielding error added another plus-12.0 swing, allowing Minnesota to score six runs in the inning and pull within two. Boston answered in the bottom half, with Nick Sogard depositing a home run off Caleb Boushley for a plus-14.0 swing, and Juan Chacon following with a triple off Boushley worth plus-13.7 points, effectively closing out Minnesota's hopes of completing the comeback.

Sogard led all players with a WPA of plus-15.9 and an RE24 of plus-1.3, while Devers finished at plus-14.8 WPA and a game-best RE24 of plus-3.0. Chacon contributed plus-13.6 WPA and plus-1.0 RE24. On the mound, Theo Denlinger paced Boston's pitching staff with a plus-8.1 WPA, followed by Cody Scroggins at plus-6.3 and Chris Murphy at plus-4.3, as the Red Sox bullpen held firm after Minnesota's seventh-inning surge.