Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AZ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| COL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | 3 | 7 | 1 |
The Story
The Colorado Rockies blanked the Arizona Diamondbacks 3-0 on February 23, 2024, at Salt River Fields at Talking Stick, with the DiamondIQ model's estimate moving from a 54% pre-game Colorado win probability all the way to 100% by game's end. Colorado scored in three separate innings — the fourth, fifth, and seventh — while Arizona managed five hits but never crossed the plate, finishing with a clean error column while Colorado committed one.
The turning point came in the bottom of the fourth when Elehuris Montero connected on a home run off Chris Rodriguez, a swing that added 12.1% to Colorado's win probability and represented the single most impactful play of the game. Drew Romo followed in the fifth with a single off Konnor Pilkington that pushed the needle another 8.6%. Arizona's best chance to respond came in the top of the sixth, where a Kevin Newman fielding error off Evan Justice shifted 8.5% back toward the Diamondbacks, but Andrés Chaparro immediately surrendered that momentum with a strikeout that swung 8.2% back to Colorado. Nolan Jones also hurt the Rockies' cause in the fourth with a ground into double play off Rodriguez, costing his side 8.5% in win probability.
Among position players, Blaze Alexander led all batters with a WPA of plus-10.9% and a RE24 of plus-0.9, while Montero finished at plus-10.6% and Joc Pederson contributed plus-7.7% with a game-high RE24 of plus-1.0. On the mound, Chance Adams was the most impactful arm with a WPA of plus-11.6%, followed by Matt Koch at plus-7.2% and Tommy Henry at plus-6.7%, as the Colorado pitching staff collectively suppressed Arizona's lineup throughout the afternoon.