New York Yankees at Toronto Blue Jays: Final Score & Recap

The Toronto Blue Jays shut out the New York Yankees 6-0 on September 28, 2023, at Rogers Centre, turning what began as a competitive game into a decisive home victory. The DiamondIQ model entered the day giving Toronto a 58% win probability, and that figure climbed steadily before reaching 100% by the final out. The Blue Jays needed all of nine innings to collect their runs but did their most meaningful damage through the middle frames, as the Yankees were held to seven hits and committed no errors while never putting a run on the board.

The game's turning point arrived early and often through the long ball. In the bottom of the third, Daulton Varsho connected on a home run off Luke Weaver, a swing that shifted win probability by plus 10.6 percentage points according to the DiamondIQ model's estimate. Matt Chapman followed in the fourth with another solo shot off Weaver, adding a nearly identical plus 10.5 percentage point swing. The sixth inning brought a Brandon Belt home run off Zach McAllister worth plus 7.9 percentage points, while a Cavan Biggio single off Greg Weissert in the fifth generated plus 8.8 percentage points on its own, underscoring how thoroughly Toronto controlled the leverage throughout the contest.

Among individual performers, Cavan Biggio led all position players with a WPA of plus 12.7 and an RE24 of plus 1.3, while Varsho finished at plus 10.0 WPA and plus 1.0 RE24. George Springer contributed plus 5.2 WPA and plus 0.6 RE24 to round out Toronto's most impactful bats. On the mound, Chris Bassitt was the story, posting a WPA of plus 22.8 and holding the Yankees offense completely in check throughout his outing.