Los Angeles Dodgers at Colorado Rockies: Final Score & Recap

The Los Angeles Dodgers handed the Colorado Rockies an 8-2 defeat at Coors Field on September 27, 2023, a result the DiamondIQ model's estimate reflected emphatically — Colorado entered with a 29 percent home win probability and finished at zero. Los Angeles built the margin incrementally before pulling away decisively, scoring a run in the third, three in the fifth, and four more in the eighth to turn what began as a measured contest into a comfortable road win.

The game's most consequential sequence began in the third inning when James Outman's home run off Noah Davis shifted win probability 10.5 percentage points in the Dodgers' favor, establishing early momentum for the visitors. Sean Bouchard responded in the bottom half with a solo shot off Emmet Sheehan that moved Colorado's chances by 11.0 points, briefly keeping the Rockies relevant. However, David Peralta's fifth-inning double off Davis — the single largest swing of the night at plus 14.4 percentage points — effectively closed that window, and Miguel Rojas's single off Nick Mears in the eighth added another 9.3-point shift as Los Angeles piled on four insurance runs. Brendan Rodgers's home run off Sheehan in the sixth was Colorado's last meaningful blow at plus 10.1 points, though it amounted to little given the game's trajectory.

Among individuals, Miguel Rojas led all batters with a plus 17.2 percent WPA and 1.6 RE24, while James Outman finished at plus 15.5 percent WPA with a 1.8 RE24 anchored by his third-inning blast. Freddie Freeman posted the night's best RE24 at 3.8 to go with a plus 13.4 percent WPA, reflecting his sustained damage across multiple plate appearances. On the mound, Brusdar Graterol led Dodgers relievers at plus 8.8 percent WPA, followed by Tommy Doyle at plus 7.6, as Los Angeles held Colorado's offense largely in check through the final frames.