Arizona Diamondbacks at Chicago White Sox: Final Score & Recap

The Arizona Diamondbacks blanked the Chicago White Sox 3-0 at Guaranteed Rate Field on September 27, 2023, with all three runs arriving in a decisive third inning that effectively settled the outcome. The DiamondIQ model entered the game giving the White Sox a 39% chance of winning at home, but that probability collapsed to 0% by the final out as Arizona's pitching staff held Chicago scoreless across all nine frames despite the White Sox collecting eight hits.

The third inning was the game's turning point in full. Corbin Carroll's double off Luis Patiño was the single most impactful offensive play of the night, shifting win probability 14.2 points in Arizona's favor, and Ketel Marte's subsequent walk added another 7.2 points on top of that. Carroll finished as the game's top batter by WPA at plus 12.7%, paired with a RE24 of plus 0.7, making him the clear offensive catalyst. Eloy Jiménez also registered a notable plus 8.1% WPA and plus 0.5 RE24 in a losing effort, representing one of the few bright spots in Chicago's night despite the team's inability to convert its hits into runs. The White Sox offense saw its best late-game opportunities extinguished, including Gavin Sheets' strikeout in the sixth against Brandon Pfaadt, which swung win probability 6.5 points further away from Chicago, and Tyler Naquin's strikeout against Paul Sewald in the ninth, which added 5.7 points to Arizona's column.

On the mound, Brandon Pfaadt led all pitchers with a WPA of plus 15.4%, anchoring the shutout effort with Deivi García contributing plus 10.5% and Andrew Saalfrank adding plus 6.3%. The combined pitching performance held a White Sox lineup that generated eight hits entirely without a run, a testament to Arizona's ability to strand baserunners at critical moments and strand Chicago's offense without consequence throughout the contest.