Los Angeles Angels at Minnesota Twins: Final Score & Recap

The Minnesota Twins defeated the Los Angeles Angels 9-3 on September 24, 2023, at Target Field, a result the DiamondIQ model largely anticipated given its pre-game home win probability of 62%, though that figure climbed steadily to 100% as Minnesota pulled away over the final innings.

The game's defining sequence began in the bottom of the sixth, when Ryan Jeffers delivered a triple off Carson Fulmer that swung win probability 21.1 points in Minnesota's favor, the single largest WPA play of the contest. That came on the heels of Max Kepler's home run in the bottom of the seventh off José Marte, which added another 18.9 percentage points and effectively closed the door on any Angels comeback. Los Angeles had shown brief life with Brandon Drury's second-inning double off Joe Ryan, which registered as the second-largest individual play of the game at plus-20.8% WPA, and Zach Neto added a double in the fifth for another 7.5 points. Jorge Polanco's home run off Fulmer in the bottom of the third, worth plus-11.2% WPA, was the moment Minnesota wrested firm control of the game, a lead the club never relinquished.

Among individual performers, Jeffers finished as the top batter by RE24 at plus-2.6, underscoring the run-environment value of his production beyond the win-probability spike. Drury led all batters with a plus-18.9% WPA despite pitching from the losing side, a reflection of how pivotal his double was in a game that could briefly have tilted differently. On the mound, Louis Varland led Minnesota's staff with a plus-8.5% WPA, and the Twins received clean late work from Andrew Wantz and Kody Funderburk to finish off a comfortable nine-run victory.