Arizona Diamondbacks at New York Yankees: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AZ | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 1 |
| NYY | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | 6 | 9 | 0 |
The Story
The New York Yankees defeated the Arizona Diamondbacks 6-4 on September 23, 2023, at Yankee Stadium, with the DiamondIQ model's estimate of a home-team win beginning at 52% before tip climbing to 100% by the final out. Arizona struck first with a two-run first inning, but New York answered with a two-run fourth when Austin Wells connected on a home run off Merrill Kelly, a swing that shifted win probability by 16.1 percentage points. The game remained tight into the late innings before the Yankees pulled away decisively, outscoring Arizona 4-1 over the seventh and eighth frames combined.
The decisive blow came in the bottom of the seventh when Oswald Peraza launched a home run off Ryan Thompson, a plus-17.3 percentage-point swing that represented the single largest win-probability moment of the game. Arizona threatened in the top half of that same inning, as Gabriel Moreno singled off Nick Ramirez for a plus-15.4 percentage-point swing from the Diamondbacks' perspective, but the rally fell short. New York then put the game away in the eighth, with Anthony Volpe drawing a walk off Kevin Ginkel for a 16.8-point swing, followed by another Peraza walk against the same pitcher adding 15.5 percentage points to the Yankees' column.
Peraza finished as the game's top performer by WPA at plus-20.5 with a RE24 of plus-1.4, while Gleyber Torres posted a plus-19.2 WPA and Corbin Carroll led Arizona's side at plus-18.0. On the mound, Greg Weissert paced all pitchers with a plus-13.4 WPA, while Merrill Kelly's plus-9.9 mark was notable given that he surrendered the Wells home run but still contributed positively to Arizona's win-probability position across his overall outing.