Colorado Rockies at Chicago Cubs: Final Score & Recap

The Chicago Cubs shut out the Colorado Rockies 6-0 at Wrigley Field on September 22, 2023, a result the DiamondIQ model's estimate foreshadowed from the start, with home win probability set at 69% before first pitch and climbing to 100% by game's end. Chicago's offense generated runs in four separate innings — the first, fourth, sixth, and seventh — while Colorado was held without a crossing of the plate across all nine frames, finishing with six hits and no errors to the Cubs' seven hits and clean fielding.

The decisive blow came in the bottom of the fourth when Seiya Suzuki connected on a home run off Noah Davis, a swing that added 14.7% to Chicago's win probability and represented the single largest leverage moment of the game. Jared Young extended the lead further with a home run of his own off Gavin Hollowell in the bottom of the sixth, adding another 7.6% in win probability. Colorado's best opportunity to apply pressure was largely snuffed out; Ezequiel Tovar grounded into a double play off Jameson Taillon in the top of the sixth, a moment that cost the Rockies 5.4% in win probability, and a Kris Bryant flyout in the third had similarly deflated an earlier threat at minus 4.8%.

Jameson Taillon was the game's standout performer by the DiamondIQ model's accounting, posting a team-high plus 19.0% WPA on the mound as he repeatedly neutralized Colorado's lineup. Among position players, Suzuki led all batters with a plus 13.9% WPA and plus 1.8 RE24, while Jared Young and Elias Díaz each contributed plus 5.0% WPA to the Cubs' winning effort. Drew Smyly added plus 1.4% WPA in relief to close out a comfortable victory.