Arizona Diamondbacks at New York Yankees: Final Score & Recap

The New York Yankees handed the Arizona Diamondbacks a 7-1 defeat at Yankee Stadium on September 22, 2023, a game that was effectively decided early as the DiamondIQ model's estimate of a New York victory climbed from a pre-game 52 percent all the way to 100 percent by the final out. Arizona managed just five hits and committed two errors, while the Yankees collected 12 hits and controlled the contest from the third inning onward.

The decisive moment came in the bottom of the third, when Aaron Judge launched a home run off Brandon Pfaadt that swung win probability by 22.5 percent in New York's favor, the single biggest play of the game. Oswaldo Cabrera added to the damage in that same frame with a single worth 3.8 percent, and Oswald Peraza extended the inning via a fielder's choice that contributed another 5.3 percent. Judge was not finished, connecting for a second home run off Pfaadt in the bottom of the fifth for an additional 5.3 percent swing. Across the full game, Judge finished as the top performer by a wide margin at plus-28.8 percent WPA and plus-5.8 RE24, with Peraza contributing plus-8.3 percent WPA on his own. On the mound, Luke Weaver was the standout arm, posting an 18.2 percent WPA contribution in support of the victory.

Pfaadt bore the brunt of the damage, surrendering both Judge home runs and absorbing the bulk of Arizona's win-probability losses on the pitching side. Geraldo Perdomo provided Arizona's lone offensive bright spot, credited with plus-2.6 percent WPA, though it amounted to little in a game the Diamondbacks trailed decisively for most of the night. The lone Arizona run came in the top of the ninth, long after the outcome had been settled.