Seattle Mariners at Oakland Athletics: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
| OAK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 |
The Story
The Seattle Mariners handed the Oakland Athletics a 7-2 defeat at Oakland Coliseum on September 19, 2023, a result the DiamondIQ model's estimate made increasingly inevitable as the game progressed. Oakland entered with a 30% pre-game win probability, and that number fell to zero by the final out. Seattle scored in the second and fourth innings before the game's decisive sequence arrived in the top of the seventh, when the Mariners erupted for four runs to put the contest firmly out of reach. The Mariners finished with 11 hits and committed no errors, while Oakland managed just six hits and was charged with one error across nine innings.
The seventh inning was the pivot point by every measurable standard. J.P. Crawford's double off Easton Lucas shifted win probability by plus 11.7 percentage points, the single largest swing of the game, and Cal Raleigh followed with a single off the same pitcher for an additional plus 6.4 points. Crawford finished as the game's top batter by WPA at plus 8.8, paired with a RE24 of plus 1.5. Jarred Kelenic was nearly as impactful, finishing at plus 8.7 WPA, with his fourth-inning single off Paul Blackburn earlier representing a plus 6.6 point swing. Teoscar Hernandez led all batters in run-environment value, posting a RE24 of plus 1.9 alongside a WPA of plus 7.8. On the other side, Zack Gelof's strikeout double play in the bottom of the third off Luis Castillo cost Oakland 5.9 percentage points and illustrated how the Athletics repeatedly failed to generate any offensive traction.
Luis Castillo was the pitching story, contributing plus 21.1 WPA, the highest mark of any player in the game. Paul Blackburn posted a plus 10.3 WPA despite allowing Seattle's early runs, and Lucas Erceg added plus 6.2 in relief for Oakland. The DiamondIQ model's estimate effectively called the outcome by the seventh inning, and Seattle's combination of timely hitting and Castillo's dominance left Oakland without a credible path back into the contest.