Miami Marlins at Milwaukee Brewers: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 |
| MIL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 |
The Story
The Miami Marlins shut out the Milwaukee Brewers 2-0 on September 13, 2023, at American Family Field, overcoming a pregame DiamondIQ model estimate that put Milwaukee's win probability at 58%. Miami scored once in the fifth inning and again in the seventh, with both tallies coming against a Brewers staff that finished with seven hits allowed across the nine innings. The Marlins committed two errors but kept the Brewers off the board entirely, finishing with eight hits of their own.
The pivotal sequence came in the bottom of the eighth, when the Brewers mounted their most credible threat of the night. William Contreras opened the frame with a single off Andrew Nardi, a play that shifted win probability 8.9 points in Milwaukee's favor. But Nardi responded by striking out Josh Donaldson, swinging the model's estimate 9.7 points back toward Miami, and then induced Willy Adames into a double play that erased the threat and moved the needle a decisive 16.1 points in the Marlins' direction. In the ninth, Joey Wiemer grounded out against Tanner Scott, a play that registered a 12.0-point win-probability addition for the home side, though the Brewers never advanced a runner into scoring position. The seventh-inning run that proved to be the game's insurance came courtesy of a Garrett Hampson double off Bryse Wilson, a hit worth 9.0 points of win probability at the time.
Braxton Garrett was the standout individual performer of the evening, contributing 34.6 points of win probability over the course of his outing to lead all pitchers. Andrew Nardi added 13.3 points in relief, and David Robertson contributed 8.8 points to close things out. Among position players, Tyrone Taylor led all batters with 11.0 points of win probability added and a RE24 of plus-0.3, while Xavier Edwards and Garrett Hampson each contributed 6.5 and 5.6 points respectively. The DiamondIQ model's estimate moved from 58 percent in Milwaukee's favor before first pitch to zero percent by the final out.