Atlanta Braves at Philadelphia Phillies: Final Score & Recap

The Atlanta Braves handed the Philadelphia Phillies a 4-1 defeat at Citizens Bank Park on September 13, 2023, building their lead methodically in the early innings and never surrendering it. Atlanta scored two in the first, added one in the third, and tacked on another in the fourth, while Philadelphia managed its lone run in the opening frame. The Braves finished with 10 hits against zero errors, while the Phillies committed one error across just four hits. The DiamondIQ model entered the game giving the home side a 42 percent chance of winning, and by the final out that figure had fallen to zero.

The decisive stretch came in the third and fourth innings, where Atlanta did its most damaging work against Phillies starter Cristopher Sánchez. An Ozzie Albies single in the third shifted win probability 4.5 percent in Atlanta's favor, and the fourth inning proved even more costly for Philadelphia. A Marcell Ozuna double moved the needle another 5.2 percent, and a Kevin Pillar double delivered the biggest single batting swing of the night at plus 8.8 percent win probability. Brandon Marsh's strikeout to end the ninth added 6.3 percent from the Phillies' side as the game was already sealed.

Spencer Strider was the game's dominant individual performer by a considerable margin, accumulating plus 32.2 percent win probability added over the course of his outing and finishing off a Garrett Stubbs pop out in the seventh that represented the Phillies' best late chance at a rally. Among Atlanta's hitters, Pillar led with plus 7.0 percent WPA and a RE24 of 0.9, while Ozuna contributed plus 5.2 percent and Albies added plus 4.1 percent to round out the Braves' most impactful offensive contributors.