Los Angeles Dodgers at Washington Nationals: Final Score & Recap

The Los Angeles Dodgers defeated the Washington Nationals 7-3 at Nationals Park on September 10, 2023, putting together a 14-hit performance with no errors to comfortably pull away from a home team that entered with a 38% win probability according to the DiamondIQ model's estimate. The Dodgers struck early, plating two runs in each of the first two innings to build a 4-0 lead before Washington could find any traction, and the game's outcome was largely settled well before the final out.

The most consequential stretch came in the fourth inning, when Washington mounted its most credible threat of the evening. Drew Millas delivered a single off Ryan Yarbrough that represented the single biggest win-probability swing of the game, shifting the Nationals' chances by plus 11.9 percentage points, and Michael Chavis followed with another single for an additional 6.7-point swing, bringing Washington within 4-2. However, the Dodgers responded immediately in the top of the fifth, with Miguel Rojas singling off Mason Thompson for a 6.6-point swing and James Outman drawing a walk off Trevor Williams for another 5.7-point gain, effectively extinguishing any momentum Washington had generated. Carter Kieboom's strikeout in the second inning, a minus 8.7-point event against the Nationals, had already signaled how difficult the night would be for the home side.

Among individual performers, Drew Millas finished with the highest batting WPA at plus 11.4 percent to go with a RE24 of plus 1.1, though his efforts came in a losing cause. Jacob Young posted plus 8.9 percent WPA and plus 1.3 RE24 to lead Dodgers hitters in those combined measures, while James Outman added plus 8.7 percent WPA and plus 1.2 RE24. On the mound, Brusdar Graterol led all pitchers with plus 3.6 percent WPA, with Ryan Yarbrough and Joe La Sorsa each contributing positively as well despite Yarbrough's exposure to Washington's fourth-inning rally.