MLB Recap · September 8, 2023

Milwaukee Brewers at New York Yankees: Final Score & Recap

MIL8
Final
NYY2

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
MIL0002003308160
NYY002000000232

The Story

The Milwaukee Brewers handed the New York Yankees a decisive 8-2 defeat at Yankee Stadium on September 8, 2023, finishing with 16 hits and no errors while limiting the home side to just three hits and two costly errors. The DiamondIQ model entered the game with a 48 percent home win probability for New York, a figure that steadily eroded and closed at zero percent as Milwaukee pulled away with runs in the fourth, seventh, and eighth innings.

The game's most consequential sequence began in the bottom of the third, when Yankees outfielder Jasson Domínguez connected on a home run off Colin Rea, a swing worth plus-18.1 percent in win probability that briefly gave New York momentum and represented the high-water mark for the home team. That lead evaporated almost immediately. Willy Adames answered with a home run of his own off Luis Severino in the top of the fourth, a blow worth plus-18.5 percent in win probability that retook the lead for Milwaukee. The seventh inning then broke the game open entirely, as Carlos Santana singled off Jonathan Loáisiga for plus-11.3 percent, Adames followed with a double worth plus-9.9 percent, and Andruw Monasterio capped the rally with a double off Jhony Brito worth plus-9.4 percent, with Milwaukee plating three runs in the frame before adding three more in the eighth.

Adames finished as the game's top performer by the DiamondIQ model's estimate, accumulating plus-25.1 percent in win probability added and a RE24 of plus-2.2 across his home run and double. Domínguez led New York at plus-21.7 percent with a RE24 of plus-1.4, though his effort proved isolated in an otherwise dormant Yankees lineup. Santana contributed plus-8.3 percent and a RE24 of plus-1.4 in support of the Brewers' late surge. On the mound, Jhony Brito led Milwaukee relievers with plus-10.4 percent in win probability added, followed by Abner Uribe at plus-8.4 percent and Trevor Megill at plus-6.3 percent as the bullpen secured a comfortable finish.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025MIL bats firstFinalNYY win %MIL win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 47.9% → final 0%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Willy Adames Home Run
Top 4th · off Luis Severino
+18.5%
Jasson Domínguez Home Run
Bot 3rd · off Colin Rea
+18.1%
Carlos Santana Single
Top 7th · off Jonathan Loáisiga
+11.3%
Willy Adames Double
Top 7th · off Jonathan Loáisiga
+9.9%
Top 7th · off Jhony Brito
+9.4%

Top Batters by WPA

Willy Adames+25.1%+2.2 RE24
Jasson Domínguez+21.7%+1.4 RE24
Carlos Santana+8.3%+1.4 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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