MLB Recap · September 7, 2023

Cleveland Guardians at Los Angeles Angels: Final Score & Recap

CLE2
Final
LAA3

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
CLE000000200291
LAA000000102390

The Story

The Los Angeles Angels walked off the Cleveland Guardians 3-2 on September 7, 2023, at Angel Stadium, completing a dramatic late comeback after a scoreless six innings. The DiamondIQ model's estimate opened with a 53 percent home win probability for Los Angeles and closed at 100 percent, reflecting a finish that unfolded almost entirely in the final three half-innings.

The scoring began in the seventh inning, when Josh Naylor's single off Aaron Loup gave Cleveland a 2-0 lead, a hit that added 19.6 percent to the Guardians' win probability at the time. Los Angeles answered with a run of its own in the bottom half, as Brett Phillips singled off Matt Moore to push across a run and shift momentum by 13.6 percent. The Angels then turned to Emmanuel Clase in the ninth, and that decision proved costly. Phillips led off with a single that added 18.4 percent to Los Angeles's chances, Chad Wallach followed with a double worth 17.0 percent, and Randal Grichuk delivered the decisive blow, a walk-off single that swung win probability by 33.4 percent and capped the comeback.

Phillips finished as the game's top offensive performer by WPA at plus-26.7 percent with an RE24 of plus-0.9, while Grichuk added plus-21.7 percent and Kyren Paris contributed plus-12.0 percent. On the pitching side, Cal Quantrill led all hurlers with a WPA of plus-30.3 percent for Cleveland, but his effort was ultimately undone by the ninth-inning collapse. Trevor Stephan added plus-23.3 percent and Davis Daniel posted plus-19.1 percent, leaving the Guardians' bullpen performance a tale of six strong innings overshadowed by one decisive frame.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025CLE bats firstFinalLAA win %CLE win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 52.6% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Randal Grichuk Single
Bot 9th · off Emmanuel Clase
+33.4%
Josh Naylor Single
Top 7th · off Aaron Loup
+19.6%
Brett Phillips Single
Bot 9th · off Emmanuel Clase
+18.4%
Chad Wallach Double
Bot 9th · off Emmanuel Clase
+17.0%
Brett Phillips Single
Bot 7th · off Matt Moore
+13.6%

Top Batters by WPA

Brett Phillips+26.7%+0.9 RE24
Randal Grichuk+21.7%+0.3 RE24
Kyren Paris+12.0%+0.4 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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