Los Angeles Dodgers at Miami Marlins: Final Score & Recap

The Los Angeles Dodgers completed a dominant road shutout on September 7, 2023, defeating the Miami Marlins 10-0 at loanDepot park behind a 16-hit attack that left the DiamondIQ model's estimate of a Miami win at exactly zero percent by the final out. The Marlins had entered with a 44 percent pre-game win probability according to the model, but Los Angeles dismantled that projection methodically, scoring in the third, fifth, sixth, and eighth innings while holding Miami to just two hits and committing no errors.

The decisive blows came in clusters. Miguel Rojas opened the scoring in the third inning with a triple off Braxton Garrett, a hit that shifted win probability 9.1 percent toward Los Angeles, and Will Smith followed with a single worth an additional 8.1 percent swing off the same pitcher. The Dodgers did their heaviest damage against reliever George Soriano in the fifth and sixth innings. Enrique Hernández delivered the game's single most impactful offensive play, a fifth-inning double off Soriano that moved the needle 12.7 percent, and Chris Taylor added a single in the same frame worth 8.4 percent. Freddie Freeman then extended the lead in the sixth with a double off Soriano worth 7.5 percent.

Individually, Enrique Hernández led all batters with a cumulative WPA of plus 11.9 percent and a RE24 of plus 1.6, while Freddie Freeman and Will Smith each finished at plus 0.9 RE24 with WPA figures of plus 8.6 and plus 7.9 percent respectively. On the mound, Ryan Pepiot was the game's most dominant individual, posting a WPA of plus 19.2 percent, with JT Chargois contributing an additional plus 5.9 percent in relief. Braxton Garrett was the lone Miami pitcher to register a positive WPA at plus 1.4 percent, a modest figure in an otherwise difficult evening for the Marlins staff.