Milwaukee Brewers at Pittsburgh Pirates: Final Score & Recap

The Pittsburgh Pirates defeated the Milwaukee Brewers 5-4 at PNC Park on September 6, 2023, rallying from a 3-1 deficit after the first inning to claim a victory the DiamondIQ model's estimate put at just 45 percent in Pittsburgh's favor before first pitch, ultimately climbing to 100 percent by the final out.

The decisive stretch came in the sixth and seventh innings, when the Pirates unraveled Milwaukee's early lead with four consecutive meaningful blows. Jack Suwinski opened the sixth-inning rally with a double off Freddy Peralta that added 14.2 percent to Pittsburgh's win probability, and Joshua Palacios followed with a single off Trevor Megill worth 16.5 percent, the two hits combining to knot and then shift the complexion of the game entirely. In the seventh, Ji Hwan Bae delivered the most impactful play of the night, a triple off Elvis Peguero that swung win probability by 21.8 percent and represented the single biggest leverage moment of the contest. Miguel Andujar added a run-scoring single off Hoby Milner for another 11.6 percent swing, and Pittsburgh's cushion was effectively sealed. Andruw Monasterio's ninth-inning single off David Bednar provided a modest 10.6 percent gain for Milwaukee but amounted to nothing in the final accounting.

Among Pittsburgh's standout performers by the DiamondIQ model's accounting, Bae finished with a net WPA of plus 14.3 percent alongside a RE24 of plus 0.7, while Suwinski posted plus 13.8 percent WPA and led all batters with a RE24 of plus 1.2. On the mound, David Bednar headlined the pitching staff at plus 15.2 percent WPA despite surrendering a late single, with Bailey Falter contributing plus 10.9 percent and Carmen Mlodzinski adding plus 8.3 percent as Pittsburgh's bullpen collectively preserved the one-run lead through the final frames.