MLB Recap · September 2, 2023

Detroit Tigers at Chicago White Sox: Final Score & Recap

DET10
Final
CWS0

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
DET42020101010181
CWS000000000041

The Story

The Detroit Tigers routed the Chicago White Sox 10-0 on September 2, 2023, at Guaranteed Rate Field, handing Chicago a shutout loss behind a 18-hit offensive assault and dominant pitching. The DiamondIQ model entered the game giving the White Sox a 47% chance of winning at home, but that number eroded quickly and finished at 0% by the final out.

The game turned decisively in the first two innings. In the top of the first, a pickoff at first base against Javier Báez shifted win probability by 6.8 percentage points in Detroit's favor off Mike Clevinger, setting an early tone, and the Tigers plated four runs in that frame. Chicago had chances to respond but squandered them, most notably in the bottom of the first when Eloy Jiménez popped out against Reese Olson, a play that swung win probability 8.2 points away from the White Sox. The pattern continued in the second inning, where Lenyn Sosa grounded out against Olson in a sequence that shifted the outlook another 10.7 points against Chicago, effectively closing the door on any realistic path to a comeback. Miguel Cabrera contributed a flyout in the top of the second that added 9.4 points of win probability for Detroit, with Zach McKinstry's single off Clevinger tacking on another 2.7 points.

Reese Olson was the clear standout performer, leading all players with a staggering plus-23.7% WPA on the mound as he consistently retired White Sox hitters in high-leverage spots. Among the position players, Cabrera led Detroit batters at plus-10.5% WPA with a RE24 of plus-2.1, while Spencer Torkelson posted the best run-environment contribution among Tigers hitters at plus-2.9 RE24 and plus-4.5% WPA. Báez added plus-5.5% WPA as well, though his RE24 finished at minus-0.9.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025DET bats firstFinalCWS win %DET win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 47.2% → final 0%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Lenyn Sosa Groundout
Bot 2nd · off Reese Olson
-10.7%
Miguel Cabrera Flyout
Top 2nd · off Mike Clevinger
+9.4%
Eloy Jiménez Pop Out
Bot 1st · off Reese Olson
-8.2%
Javier Báez Pickoff 1B
Top 1st · off Mike Clevinger
+6.8%
Zach McKinstry Single
Top 2nd · off Mike Clevinger
+2.7%

Top Batters by WPA

Miguel Cabrera+10.5%+2.1 RE24
Javier Báez+5.5%-0.9 RE24
Spencer Torkelson+4.5%+2.9 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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