Arizona Diamondbacks at Los Angeles Dodgers: Final Score & Recap

The Los Angeles Dodgers handed the Arizona Diamondbacks a 9-1 defeat at Dodger Stadium on August 29, 2023, a result the DiamondIQ model's estimate saw coming from the opening pitch. Los Angeles entered with a 65% pre-game win probability, and that figure climbed steadily toward its final reading of 100% as the Dodgers built a lead that was never seriously threatened. Los Angeles scored in five of nine innings, putting up three runs in the first, two more in the third, and two additional runs in the sixth to make the outcome a formality well before the final out. Arizona managed just six hits against a Dodger staff that allowed the game to unfold almost entirely on Los Angeles's terms.

The single most decisive moment by win-probability impact came in the second inning when Arizona catcher Gabriel Moreno grounded into a double play off Clayton Kershaw, a sequence that shifted win probability by negative 8.3 points against the Diamondbacks and effectively snuffed out any hope of an early D-backs rally. Kershaw was the dominant force in this game, finishing as the top pitcher by WPA at plus 8.5%, underscoring how thoroughly he controlled Arizona's lineup. On the offensive side, Jason Heyward's double in the first inning contributed a 3.3-point swing, helping Los Angeles establish its early cushion off Merrill Kelly.

David Peralta led all position players with a WPA of plus 5.7% and a RE24 of plus 2.0, making him the most impactful bat in the game by both measures. Chris Taylor and Will Smith each posted a WPA of plus 4.5%, with Taylor contributing a RE24 of plus 1.8. Arizona's offense offered little resistance beyond a single run in the fifth inning, finishing with six hits and one error, while Los Angeles collected 16 hits without committing a single fielding mistake. The DiamondIQ model leans heavily toward performances like Kershaw's as the turning point in lopsided outcomes of this kind.