MLB Recap · August 29, 2023

Los Angeles Angels at Philadelphia Phillies: Final Score & Recap

LAA7
Final
PHI12

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
LAA0111101027111
PHI01100631-12133

The Story

The Philadelphia Phillies pulled away from the Los Angeles Angels 12-7 at Citizens Bank Park on August 29, 2023, in a game that the DiamondIQ model opened with a 62% pre-game win probability in favor of Philadelphia and closed at 100% after a decisive sixth inning turned a close contest into a comfortable Phillies victory.

The sixth inning was the pivot point of the game. With the score tight heading into the frame, Alec Bohm's home run off Tyler Anderson added 28.3% to Philadelphia's win probability, the single largest swing of the night. Trea Turner followed later in the inning with a triple off José Soriano worth 13.4%, and Nick Castellanos added a single off Anderson for another 8.8% — the Phillies scoring six times in that inning alone to break the game open. The Angels had shown resilience earlier, with Luis Rengifo's fourth-inning home run off Michael Lorenzen adding 11.3% from Los Angeles's perspective, and Kyle Schwarber's third-inning blast off Anderson had given Philadelphia an earlier lift worth 12% on the other side. But the Angels' late push of two runs in the ninth came far too late to threaten.

Bohm was Philadelphia's most valuable performer by the DiamondIQ model's accounting, finishing at plus-30.5% WPA and plus-2.5 RE24 on the night. Randal Grichuk contributed plus-19.0% WPA and plus-2.0 RE24, while Bryce Harper added plus-17.7% WPA and plus-1.4 RE24 to round out Philadelphia's top offensive contributors. The Phillies bullpen, led by Andrew Bellatti and Seranthony Domínguez, each posted neutral WPA figures in holding the Angels in check over the final innings.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025LAA bats firstFinalPHI win %LAA win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 62.5% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Alec Bohm Home Run
Bot 6th · off Tyler Anderson
+28.3%
Trea Turner Triple
Bot 6th · off José Soriano
+13.4%
Luis Rengifo Home Run
Top 4th · off Michael Lorenzen
+11.3%
Kyle Schwarber Home Run
Bot 3rd · off Tyler Anderson
+11.2%
Nick Castellanos Single
Bot 6th · off Tyler Anderson
+8.8%

Top Batters by WPA

Alec Bohm+30.5%+2.5 RE24
Randal Grichuk+19.0%+2.0 RE24
Bryce Harper+17.7%+1.4 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
Open Game Center →