MLB Recap · August 28, 2023

New York Yankees at Detroit Tigers: Final Score & Recap

NYY4
Final
DET1

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
NYY000010210470
DET000000001171

The Story

The New York Yankees handed the Detroit Tigers a 4-1 defeat at Comerica Park on August 28, 2023, swinging the DiamondIQ model's estimate of a Detroit win from 51 percent before first pitch all the way to zero by the final out. The Yankees broke a scoreless game in the fifth inning when Gleyber Torres doubled off Reese Olson, a hit that shifted win probability 14.0 points in New York's favor. Torres was far from finished. In the seventh, he added a home run off Beau Brieske worth another 11.4 points, and Aaron Judge followed with his own home run against Brieske, swinging probability an additional 15.3 points toward the visitors. Those two seventh-inning blasts effectively closed the door on any Detroit comeback, pushing the Yankees to a 4-1 cushion heading into the late innings.

Detroit's most threatening moment came in the bottom of the sixth, when Zach McKinstry laced a triple off Luis Severino that moved the needle 10.7 points in the Tigers' favor. However, the rally stalled when Riley Greene hit into a fielder's choice, erasing 11.1 points of Detroit's win probability and leaving the threat stranded. Severino was the game's most dominant force by the DiamondIQ model's accounting, finishing with a WPA of plus-37.2, by far the largest single contribution of any player on either side. Reliever Brendan White added plus-13.6 WPA in support. Offensively, Torres led all batters with a combined WPA of plus-23.6 and an RE24 of plus-2.0, while Judge posted plus-16.3 WPA and plus-1.1 RE24. The Yankees finished with seven hits and no errors, while Detroit committed one error against New York's errorless performance.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025NYY bats firstFinalDET win %NYY win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 50.9% → final 0%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Aaron Judge Home Run
Top 7th · off Beau Brieske
+15.3%
Gleyber Torres Double
Top 5th · off Reese Olson
+14.0%
Gleyber Torres Home Run
Top 7th · off Beau Brieske
+11.4%
Riley Greene Fielders Choice Out
Bot 6th · off Luis Severino
-11.1%
Zach McKinstry Triple
Bot 6th · off Luis Severino
+10.7%

Top Batters by WPA

Gleyber Torres+23.6%+2.0 RE24
Aaron Judge+16.3%+1.1 RE24
Zach McKinstry+12.6%+0.6 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

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