St. Louis Cardinals at Miami Marlins: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 |
| MIA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 |
The Story
The St. Louis Cardinals shut out the Miami Marlins 3-0 on July 6, 2023, at loanDepot park, overcoming a pre-game DiamondIQ model estimate that gave Miami a 69 percent chance of winning at home. The Cardinals produced all three of their runs across the sixth, seventh, and eighth innings against a Marlins team that managed nine hits but could not convert them into runs.
The decisive sequence began in the top of the sixth when Nolan Arenado connected on a home run off Eury Pérez, a swing that shifted win probability by plus-14.6 percent in St. Louis's favor. The Marlins responded with their most threatening moment of the night in the bottom of the seventh, when a Jesús Sánchez forceout off Chris Stratton swung win probability 14.5 percent toward Miami, though the inning ended without damage. St. Louis answered immediately in the top of the seventh, as Alec Burleson singled off Dylan Floro for a plus-10.9 percent swing, and Nolan Gorman followed in the eighth with a double off George Soriano worth plus-10.3 percent, effectively salting the game away.
Gorman was the Cardinals' top offensive contributor by the DiamondIQ model's accounting, finishing at plus-16.7 percent WPA and plus-1.8 RE24, narrowly edging Arenado, who posted plus-15.4 percent WPA and plus-0.9 RE24. Burleson added plus-14.2 percent WPA of his own. On the mound, Jack Flaherty was the clear standout, credited with plus-33.7 percent WPA as he held the Marlins scoreless on a nine-hit night, supported by Stratton at plus-14.5 percent and Giovanny Gallegos at plus-5.2 percent to close it out.