Detroit Tigers at Colorado Rockies: Final Score & Recap

The Detroit Tigers won a tense extra-innings affair at Coors Field on July 1, 2023, defeating the Colorado Rockies 4-2 in ten innings. The game was a scoreless draw through five frames, with Colorado drawing first blood in the sixth and Detroit answering with a run of their own in the seventh before both clubs traded zeroes through the ninth and into extras. The DiamondIQ model entered the game assigning the Rockies a 49 percent chance of winning on their home field, a figure that had fallen to zero percent by the final out.

The decisive sequence came in the top of the tenth inning off Rockies reliever Pierce Johnson. Eric Haase opened the frame with a single that swung win probability 32.0 percentage points in Detroit's favor, and Zach McKinstry followed with a home run that added another 28.6 percentage points, effectively putting the game out of reach. Those two plays in rapid succession accounted for the bulk of the Tigers' three-run tenth-inning outburst. Jonathan Schoop had also been a factor earlier, delivering a double off Jake Bird in the seventh that shifted win probability 18.6 points toward Detroit. Schoop's night was not without cost, however, as a grounded-into-double-play in the top of the ninth off Daniel Bard swung 13.7 points back toward Colorado at a critical moment. On the Rockies' side, Coco Montes contributed a groundout in the bottom of the ninth that registered as a 14.0-point swing for Colorado by allowing baserunners to advance.

By the DiamondIQ model's full accounting, McKinstry finished as Detroit's top offensive performer with a WPA of plus-22.3 and an RE24 of plus-1.1, while Haase posted a WPA of plus-20.0. Among pitchers, Daniel Bard led all players with a WPA of plus-24.1 despite surrendering the game-tying run, followed by Zach Logue at plus-15.8 and Matt Koch at plus-12.6, each of whom held Colorado in check across the middle innings to keep Detroit's margin viable heading into extras.