MLB Recap · June 29, 2023

Chicago White Sox at Los Angeles Angels: Final Score & Recap

CWS9
Final
LAA7

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
CWS106000002990
LAA1310000027110

The Story

The Chicago White Sox overcame a 63 percent pre-game DiamondIQ model advantage for the Angels and handed Los Angeles a 9-7 defeat at Angel Stadium on June 29, 2023. The Angels appeared to be building momentum through the first two innings, trading runs in the first before taking a 4-1 lead after the second, but a catastrophic third inning unraveled their early advantage and effectively decided the outcome.

The third inning was the game's defining sequence by every measurable standard. Chicago sent a wave of hitters against Patrick Sandoval, with Luis Robert Jr. drawing a walk for a swing of plus-11.4 percent in win probability, Clint Frazier following with a single worth plus-13.1 percent, and Zach Remillard delivering a single that added another plus-13.7 percent — the most impactful individual offensive play of the night. The White Sox pushed six runs across in that frame to seize an 8-5 lead they would not relinquish. Los Angeles briefly made the ninth inning uncomfortable, pulling within 9-7, but Brandon Drury's strikeout off Kendall Graveman sealed the game at plus-14.4 percent for Chicago, the single largest win-probability swing of the contest. An earlier Angels rally attempt in the seventh was derailed when Mike Moustakas grounded into a double play off Joe Kelly, a minus-16.6 percent swing that extinguished whatever life Los Angeles had manufactured.

Remillard led all position players with a WPA of plus-17.4 and an RE24 of plus-1.6, while Shohei Ohtani posted the game's best RE24 at plus-2.1 to go with a plus-13.7 WPA for the Angels. Frazier added plus-10.0 WPA for Chicago. On the mound, Gregory Santos was the standout reliever with a plus-13.3 WPA, supported by Kelly at plus-8.8 and José Soriano at plus-8.6 for Los Angeles in a losing effort.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025CWS bats firstFinalLAA win %CWS win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 63.4% → final 0%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Mike Moustakas Grounded Into DP
Bot 7th · off Joe Kelly
-16.6%
Brandon Drury Strikeout
Bot 9th · off Kendall Graveman
+14.4%
Zach Remillard Single
Top 3rd · off Patrick Sandoval
+13.7%
Clint Frazier Single
Top 3rd · off Patrick Sandoval
+13.1%
Top 3rd · off Patrick Sandoval
+11.4%

Top Batters by WPA

Zach Remillard+17.4%+1.6 RE24
Shohei Ohtani+13.7%+2.1 RE24
Clint Frazier+10.0%+0.8 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
Open Game Center →