Chicago White Sox at Los Angeles Angels: Final Score & Recap

The Los Angeles Angels defeated the Chicago White Sox 4-2 on June 27, 2023, at Angel Stadium, with the DiamondIQ model's estimate opening at a 66 percent home win probability and closing at 100 percent by the final out. The Angels built their margin incrementally, scoring in the first and fourth innings before a pivotal seventh inning sealed the outcome. Shohei Ohtani delivered the decisive blow in the bottom of the seventh, a home run off Touki Toussaint that shifted win probability by plus 13.1 percent and proved to be the back-breaker. The White Sox mounted a minor threat in the ninth, with Jake Burger singling off Carlos Estévez for a plus 16.0 percent swing, but Elvis Andrus immediately erased that momentum by grounding into a double play, a minus 20.5 percent swing that was the single most damaging play of the game in win-probability terms. Seby Zavala then struck out to end the threat, dropping Chicago's chances by another 10.7 percent.

Ohtani was the central figure on both sides of the ball, finishing as the top performer by WPA at plus 20.9 percent with a RE24 of plus 2.8, contributions that spanned his offensive and pitching work. Eloy Jiménez was the most impactful White Sox bat, posting a plus 11.8 percent WPA and plus 1.5 RE24, though Chicago's nine hits were ultimately insufficient against a Los Angeles club that converted its six hits more efficiently. Luis Rengifo added a plus 7.2 percent WPA contribution for the Angels, while Carlos Estévez closed things out for a plus 2.4 percent pitching WPA despite briefly allowing the White Sox to tighten the margin in the ninth.