Washington Nationals at Seattle Mariners: Final Score & Recap

The Washington Nationals handed the Seattle Mariners a 7-4 defeat in extra innings on June 27, 2023, at T-Mobile Park, completing the comeback after Seattle had entered the night as a 63% favorite according to the DiamondIQ model's estimate. The game remained tight through regulation and into the tenth inning, where Seattle briefly appeared poised to end it. Julio Rodríguez drew a walk off Jordan Weems to move to second as the automatic runner, a play that shifted win probability 22.5 points in Seattle's favor, only for Teoscar Hernández to strand him with a strikeout that swung it back 17.5 points toward Washington, keeping the game alive heading to the eleventh.

The Nationals seized control decisively in the top of the eleventh. Lane Thomas delivered the pivotal blow, a double off Trevor Gott that carried a 48.0-point win-probability swing and proved to be the single most consequential play of the game. Washington pushed three runs across that inning to go ahead 7-4, though Derek Hill's groundout, also off Gott, cost the Nationals 17.7 win-probability points and briefly stalled the frame. Earlier in the eighth, Keibert Ruiz had provided critical insurance with a home run off Paul Sewald worth a 19.0-point swing that helped stabilize Washington's position late.

By the numbers, Thomas finished as the game's top performer with a combined WPA of plus-53.0 and an RE24 of plus-1.5, while Rodríguez led Seattle's side at plus-20.0 WPA and plus-1.3 RE24 despite the Mariners' defeat. On the mound, Kyle Finnegan led Washington's relievers at plus-14.3 WPA, followed by Seattle's Andrés Muñoz at plus-13.5 and starter Jake Irvin at plus-5.0 for Washington.