MLB Recap · June 26, 2023

Chicago White Sox at Los Angeles Angels: Final Score & Recap

CWS1
Final
LAA2

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
CWS100000000130
LAA000100001250

The Story

The Los Angeles Angels defeated the Chicago White Sox 2-1 on June 26, 2023, at Angel Stadium, closing out a tight game that the DiamondIQ model had pegged at a 65% pre-game home win probability before it ultimately reached 100% certainty. The Angels managed just enough offense in a low-scoring affair, plating their runs in the fourth and ninth innings against a White Sox pitching staff that otherwise limited damage through most of the contest.

The game's decisive sequence came in the bottom of the ninth, where Shohei Ohtani drew a walk off Aaron Bummer that added 10.5% to the Angels' win probability, and a subsequent wild pitch by Bummer drove home the winning run, swinging the outcome by an additional 15.4% in Los Angeles's favor. Those two plays together effectively ended the game. Ohtani had also provided the game's first defining moment in the fourth inning, connecting for a home run off Dylan Cease for a swing of 12.1%. For the night, Ohtani led all position players with a WPA of plus-20.3% and a RE24 of plus-1.2, and Mike Moustakas contributed plus-16.3% WPA largely on the strength of that walk-off wild pitch situation. On the Chicago side, Eloy Jimenez grounded into a double play in the ninth off Carlos Estevez at a cost of minus-13.7% win probability, a sequence that effectively extinguished the White Sox's final threat.

On the mound, Reid Detmers led all pitchers with a WPA of plus-24.0%, keeping Chicago's offense largely in check while the Angels built toward their late-game advantage. Dylan Cease posted a plus-21.0% WPA despite surrendering the Ohtani home run, and Joe Kelly added plus-17.5% in relief, including a ground-ball double play from Matt Thaiss in the seventh that removed a potential Angels threat and swung momentum back toward Chicago momentarily. The White Sox finished with three hits against an Angels staff that allowed just one run across nine innings, and Los Angeles's patient, timely approach in the late innings proved to be the difference.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025CWS bats firstFinalLAA win %CWS win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 64.9% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Mike Moustakas Wild Pitch
Bot 9th · off Aaron Bummer
+15.4%
Eloy Jiménez Grounded Into DP
Top 9th · off Carlos Estévez
-13.7%
Shohei Ohtani Home Run
Bot 4th · off Dylan Cease
+12.1%
Matt Thaiss Grounded Into DP
Bot 7th · off Joe Kelly
-11.2%
Shohei Ohtani Walk
Bot 9th · off Aaron Bummer
+10.5%

Top Batters by WPA

Shohei Ohtani+20.3%+1.2 RE24
Mike Moustakas+16.3%+0.2 RE24
Andrew Vaughn+7.8%+0.4 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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