Pittsburgh Pirates at Miami Marlins: Final Score & Recap

The Miami Marlins walked off against the Pittsburgh Pirates 4-3 in eleven innings on June 24, 2023, at loanDepot park, completing a comeback after the Pirates had tied the game in the ninth. The DiamondIQ model's estimate opened with Miami holding a 64 percent pre-game win probability, and by the final out that figure had reached 100 percent.

The game's most dramatic sequence began in the top of the ninth, when Pittsburgh catcher Jason Delay delivered the biggest single play of the night, a double off Tanner Scott that swung win probability 40.1 percent in the Pirates' favor and drew the visitors even. Pittsburgh pushed further in the tenth, as Ke'Bryan Hayes singled off Huascar Brazobán for a 32.1 percent swing, and Henry Davis followed with a forceout that added another 23.1 percent, giving Pittsburgh a one-run lead heading into the bottom of the inning. Miami answered immediately, however, with Jesús Sánchez grounding out off David Bednar in a bases-loaded situation that produced a 23.7 percent swing for the Marlins and retied the game. In the eleventh, Nick Fortes executed a sacrifice bunt off Angel Perdomo that shifted the win probability 19.5 percent toward Miami, setting the table for the walk-off run that closed the contest.

Delay finished as Pittsburgh's most impactful offensive player at plus-46.4 percent WPA, though the Pirates ultimately could not hold their late advantage. Andrew McCutchen was the second-most impactful Pittsburgh bat at plus-24.9 percent WPA and plus-1.8 RE24. On the Miami side, Fortes contributed plus-19.5 percent WPA, while Bryan Hoeing led all pitchers with plus-15.2 percent WPA, followed by JT Chargois at plus-13.0 percent, as the Marlins bullpen ultimately secured the extra-innings victory.