Arizona Diamondbacks at San Francisco Giants: Final Score & Recap

The San Francisco Giants defeated the Arizona Diamondbacks 8-5 at Oracle Park on June 23, 2023, with the DiamondIQ model's estimate of a Giants win climbing from a pre-game 51 percent all the way to 100 percent by the final out. San Francisco built its winning margin across two key innings, scoring three runs in the third and five more in the fifth to put the game firmly out of reach. Arizona managed to keep pace in spots, scoring twice in the second and fourth innings combined and adding two more in the fifth, but the Giants offense proved too productive at critical moments.

The decisive swings came largely off Arizona starter Zach Davies. In the bottom of the third, Michael Conforto delivered a double that shifted win probability by plus 19.9 percent, the single largest play of the game, followed shortly by a Blake Sabol double that added another 10.2 percent. Davies continued to struggle in the fifth, when J.D. Davis connected for a double worth plus 15.8 percent in win-probability terms. Conforto extended the damage further with a second double in that same inning, this one coming off reliever Joe Mantiply and adding 12.2 percent. Arizona's brightest moment came in the top of the fifth, when Geraldo Perdomo ripped a double off Logan Webb that shifted the probability 12.8 percent in the Diamondbacks' favor, briefly tightening the contest before San Francisco answered emphatically.

Conforto was the game's standout performer, finishing with a cumulative WPA of plus 30.1 percent and an RE24 of plus 2.9, making him the clear offensive catalyst for San Francisco. Davis supported him with a plus 16.0 percent WPA and 0.8 RE24, while Perdomo led Arizona's side with a plus 10.8 percent WPA and 0.5 RE24 despite the loss. On the mound, Camilo Doval was the top-performing pitcher by WPA at plus 2.4 percent, helping close out a game that the Giants controlled from the third inning forward.