Milwaukee Brewers at Cleveland Guardians: Final Score & Recap

The Milwaukee Brewers handed the Cleveland Guardians a 7-1 defeat at Progressive Field on June 23, 2023, turning what the DiamondIQ model opened as an even 50-50 contest into a complete rout, with Cleveland's win probability falling to 0% by game's end. Milwaukee was held in check through the first five innings before erupting for five runs in the top of the sixth, a burst that effectively ended any realistic path to a Guardians comeback.

The decisive sequence came in that sixth inning against Shane Bieber, where Willy Adames delivered the game's most impactful swing, a home run that shifted win probability by plus 13.9 percentage points, followed shortly by a Rowdy Tellez double that added another 10.5 points in Milwaukee's favor. Those two plays alone swung the game by nearly a quarter of the total win-probability scale in a matter of minutes. Adames finished as the game's top offensive performer with a plus 11.7% WPA and plus 3.6 RE24, while Tellez contributed plus 8.2% WPA. William Contreras added plus 5.1% WPA to round out Milwaukee's most impactful bats. Cleveland briefly showed life in the second inning when Josh Naylor doubled off Wade Miley for a plus 4.7% swing, and Cam Gallagher followed with a double in the third worth plus 4.6%, but a Gabriel Arias strikeout in the second, costing the Guardians 5.5 percentage points, typified Cleveland's inability to convert opportunities.

Wade Miley was the story on the mound, posting a commanding plus 29.8% WPA, navigating Cleveland's sporadic threats and keeping the Guardians to a single run across his outing. Milwaukee finished with 10 hits and committed no errors, while Cleveland managed 6 hits without the ability to string them together against Miley and the subsequent Brewers relievers, Peter Strzelecki and Adrian Houser, each of whom contributed a neutral 0.0% WPA in finishing out the game.