San Diego Padres at San Francisco Giants: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SD | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | 0 |
| SF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
The Story
The San Diego Padres dominated the San Francisco Giants 10-0 at Oracle Park on June 22, 2023, in a shutout that was never competitive after the opening frame. The DiamondIQ model entered the game with San Francisco holding a 62% win probability, but that figure collapsed steadily as the Padres scored in four of the first five innings and never allowed the Giants any foothold. By the final out, the model's estimate had fallen to 0% for the home side.
Blake Snell was the central force behind the outcome, generating a game-high +27.7% WPA from the mound. He strangled the Giants' offense from the first pitch, with Thairo Estrada's first-inning strikeout costing San Francisco 9.9% win probability and Casey Schmitt's second-inning punch-out draining another 10.8%, two of the single largest win-probability swings of the night. On the offensive side, the biggest positive play came in the top of the third when Manny Machado launched a home run off Alex Wood that added 11.8% to San Diego's win probability. Earlier, Jake Cronenworth's flyout in the first inning and Ha-Seong Kim's flyout in the second each contributed 8.6% and 8.2% respectively, reflecting how thoroughly the Padres were manufacturing pressure even on outs within favorable run-environment situations.
Machado finished as the top offensive contributor by WPA at +12.2% with a RE24 of +2.2, while Ha-Seong Kim added +10.4% WPA and +1.4 RE24. Cronenworth posted +8.5% WPA despite a negative RE24 of -0.7, a reflection of situational context rather than direct run contribution. San Diego finished with 11 hits and committed no errors, while the Giants managed only 3 hits against a pitching staff that never gave them a credible path back into the game.