Seattle Mariners at New York Yankees: Final Score & Recap

The Seattle Mariners dismantled the New York Yankees 10-2 at Yankee Stadium on June 22, 2023, erasing New York's 59% pre-game win probability according to the DiamondIQ model and finishing the game at a flat 0% chance for the home side. Seattle struck quickly and repeatedly, plating four runs in the first inning and adding two more in each of the second, third, and fourth frames, effectively turning the contest into a rout before the middle innings arrived. New York's three errors compounded what was already a difficult night against Seattle's pitching staff.

The game's most consequential sequence came in the first two innings, where WPA swings told the story of Seattle's command and New York's inability to respond. Anthony Rizzo's strikeout against Bryan Woo in the bottom of the first cost New York 11.0% in win probability, and Harrison Bader's forceout in the bottom of the second drained another 14.2%. On the other side, Teoscar Hernández delivered a strikeout in the top of the second that added 12.7% to Seattle's win probability off Domingo Germán, helping to lock in the early advantage rather than allow any New York momentum to build.

Bryan Woo was the night's most dominant individual, finishing with a WPA of plus 27.7%, far outpacing every other performer in the game and anchoring the DiamondIQ model's lean toward Seattle's pitching as the decisive factor. Among position players, Hernández led all batters with a WPA of plus 13.3% and a RE24 of plus 1.5, while José Caballero contributed plus 10.3% WPA despite a negative RE24 of minus 0.5, reflecting his role in favorable situational outcomes across the game. Mike Ford added a more modest plus 3.3% WPA and plus 0.8 RE24 via a fielders choice in the third.