Arizona Diamondbacks at Milwaukee Brewers: Final Score & Recap

The Arizona Diamondbacks silenced American Family Field on June 21, 2023, defeating the Milwaukee Brewers 5-1 behind a dominant pitching performance and a pair of pivotal offensive bursts. The DiamondIQ model entered the game giving Milwaukee a 45% chance of winning at home, but that figure collapsed to 0% by the final out as Arizona posted a clean nine-error-free innings against a Brewers lineup that managed just three hits.

The game's most consequential sequence came in the top of the sixth, when the Diamondbacks broke a scoreless tie against Elvis Peguero. Alek Thomas delivered the single with the largest win-probability swing of the night, adding 17.2% to Arizona's chances, followed shortly by an Emmanuel Rivera single that contributed another 9.8%. Milwaukee's lone bright spot arrived in the bottom of the fifth, when Raimel Tapia connected on a home run off Zac Gallen, a swing worth 13.0% in win probability that briefly gave the Brewers life. However, Owen Miller's groundout into a double play in the bottom of the seventh, which cost Milwaukee 14.3% in win probability, effectively extinguished any realistic path to a comeback. Arizona added two more runs in the eighth, with Geraldo Perdomo's single off Trevor Megill contributing 10.6% to the win-probability ledger.

Among individual performers, Alek Thomas led all batters with a cumulative WPA of plus 21.9% and an RE24 of plus 1.6, making him the clear offensive catalyst. Raimel Tapia paced Milwaukee with a WPA of plus 10.1%, though it was far too little support. On the mound, Julio Teheran was the top pitching contributor at plus 24.6% WPA, edging Zac Gallen's plus 23.5%, with both starters combining to hold the opposition largely in check throughout the contest.