Atlanta Braves at Philadelphia Phillies: Final Score & Recap

The Atlanta Braves defeated the Philadelphia Phillies 10-8 in ten innings on June 21, 2023 at Citizens Bank Park, handing the Phillies a loss despite a dramatic late rally. The DiamondIQ model entered the game giving Philadelphia a 42 percent chance of winning, a figure that swung wildly across ten eventful innings before settling at zero.

The decisive sequence came in back-to-back half-innings that defined the contest. In the bottom of the ninth, with Atlanta holding the lead, Bryce Harper launched a home run off Raisel Iglesias that swung win probability by 49.8 percent in Philadelphia's favor, the single largest play of the game, and briefly gave the Phillies life heading to extras. But Atlanta answered immediately in the top of the tenth when Kevin Pillar singled off José Alvarado, a hit that carried a 36.5 percent win-probability swing and effectively sealed the outcome. Earlier in the game, Matt Olson had done significant damage in the fifth inning with a double off Taijuan Walker worth 18.9 percent in win probability, and Michael Harris II added a home run off Andrew Bellatti in the sixth at 18.3 percent. Alec Bohm's double off Charlie Morton in the third had given Philadelphia an early boost worth 17.9 percent.

Among the standout performers, Harper finished as the top batter by WPA at plus-49.0 percent with a 2.1 RE24, while Bohm posted the best RE24 of any hitter at 2.4 to go with a plus-37.2 percent WPA despite being on the losing side. Pillar contributed a plus-36.5 percent WPA and 1.4 RE24 out of the ninth spot. On the mound, A.J. Minter led Atlanta's relievers with a plus-13.3 percent WPA, with Dylan Covey and Joe Jiménez adding plus-5.0 and plus-4.5 percent respectively to help the Braves hold on through the extras.