Toronto Blue Jays at Miami Marlins: Final Score & Recap

The Miami Marlins routed the Toronto Blue Jays 11-0 at loanDepot park on June 19, 2023, a result that was decisive enough to push the DiamondIQ model's estimate of a Miami win from 59% before first pitch to 100% by game's end. Toronto managed seven hits and committed one error, while Miami collected 19 hits without a miscue, building their advantage incrementally across a handful of pivotal innings — most notably the third and seventh, where the Marlins scored three and five runs respectively.

The game's single most consequential moment came in the bottom of the third, when Jorge Soler connected on a home run off José Berríos, swinging win probability by plus-16.2% in Miami's favor and effectively shifting the tone of the contest. That inning had briefly carried a flicker of Toronto life — Danny Jansen doubled off Bryan Hoeing for a plus-6.4% swing in the Jays' direction — but Kevin Kiermaier's groundout wiped away minus-6.2% of that momentum, and Garrett Cooper's single off Berríos added another plus-6.4% for Miami alongside the Soler blast. In the top of the fourth, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. grounded into a double play off Hoeing, a minus-7.1% swing that further extinguished any Toronto rally.

Soler led all players by WPA at plus-17.7% with a RE24 of plus-1.2, while Luis Arraez posted the most productive run-environment contribution among Marlins hitters at plus-2.8 RE24 to go with plus-7.1% WPA. On the mound, Bryan Hoeing was Miami's most valuable arm by the DiamondIQ model's accounting, finishing with plus-10.4% WPA, with Huascar Brazobán adding plus-4.3% in support. Toronto's pitching staff had no answer for a Miami lineup that spread 19 hits across the full game, and the shutout was never seriously in doubt after the third inning concluded.