MLB Recap · June 17, 2023

Chicago White Sox at Seattle Mariners: Final Score & Recap

CWS4
Final
SEA3

Line Score

Team1234567891011RHE
CWS010010001014121
SEA20001000000382

The Story

The Chicago White Sox defeated the Seattle Mariners 4-3 in eleven innings at T-Mobile Park on June 17, 2023, erasing what the DiamondIQ model had estimated as a 60 percent pre-game home win probability for Seattle and ultimately reducing it to zero. The White Sox scratched across single runs in the second, fifth, ninth, and eleventh innings against a Mariners team that had jumped out to a two-run advantage in the first. With the game tied heading into extra innings, Chicago needed late-game heroics to survive, and they found them repeatedly from an unlikely source.

Zach Remillard was the defining figure of this game, finishing with a combined WPA of plus-66.5 percent and an RE24 of plus-2.1, numbers that reflect two separate clutch singles at the most critical moments. His single off Paul Sewald in the top of the ninth added 29.3 percent to Chicago's win probability, tying the game and forcing extra innings. Then in the top of the eleventh, he delivered again, singling off Tayler Saucedo for a swing of plus-32.2 percent — the single largest win-probability play of the night — to give the White Sox what proved to be the decisive lead. Also notable from the offensive side, Andrew Benintendi contributed a plus-27.0 percent WPA and plus-1.7 RE24, while J.P. Crawford's groundout to end the bottom of the eleventh, after Chicago had taken that lead, added plus-30.7 percent to Seattle's side of the ledger, underscoring how tense the final moments remained.

On the pitching side, Andrés Muñoz led Seattle's relievers with plus-10.8 percent WPA, followed closely by Gregory Santos at plus-10.7 percent and Matt Brash at plus-9.7 percent, though none could ultimately preserve the Mariners' advantage. Teoscar Hernández had kept Seattle's hopes alive with a single off Lucas Giolito in the fifth that swung the probability 12.3 percent in the home team's favor, but Chicago's bullpen and Remillard's bat proved more than enough to close out a hard-fought road victory.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025CWS bats firstFinalSEA win %CWS win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 60.1% → final 0%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Zach Remillard Single
Top 11th · off Tayler Saucedo
+32.2%
Zach Remillard Single
Top 9th · off Paul Sewald
+29.3%
J.P. Crawford Groundout
Bot 11th · off Jesse Scholtens
+27.0%
Luis Robert Jr. Strikeout
Top 11th · off Ty Adcock
+17.4%
Bot 5th · off Lucas Giolito
+12.3%

Top Batters by WPA

Zach Remillard+66.5%+2.1 RE24
J.P. Crawford+30.7%+0.8 RE24
Andrew Benintendi+27.0%+1.7 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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