Chicago White Sox at Los Angeles Dodgers: Final Score & Recap

The Los Angeles Dodgers walked off the Chicago White Sox 5-4 in eleven innings on June 15, 2023, at Dodger Stadium, completing a comeback after trailing 4-0 through five frames. The DiamondIQ model's estimate opened at a 67 percent home win probability before first pitch and closed at 100 percent following Miguel Rojas's game-ending walk in the bottom of the eleventh.

The single most decisive moment came in the bottom of the sixth, when Chris Taylor lifted a grand slam off Reynaldo López that erased the four-run deficit in one swing, shifting win probability by 40.9 percentage points and representing the largest win-probability swing of the night by a wide margin. Taylor finished as the game's top performer by both metrics, posting a cumulative WPA of plus-41.8 percent and an RE24 of plus-3.0. The extra innings produced their own volatility: in the bottom of the tenth, Miguel Vargas popped out against Aaron Bummer in a moment that swung probability 19.5 points against the Dodgers, only for Jonny DeLuca to answer with a groundout that shifted it back by the same margin. In the top of the tenth, Luis Robert Jr. struck out against Evan Phillips, costing Chicago 18.7 percentage points of win probability.

On the pitching side, Dylan Cease was the top performer by WPA among pitchers at plus-35.7 percent, while Gregory Santos added plus-10.9 percent and Yency Almonte contributed plus-10.6 percent. Rojas, whose walk off Garrett Crochet ended the game, finished second among position players with a WPA of plus-34.4 percent and an RE24 of plus-1.3. The Dodgers managed to win despite being shut out for nine of the eleven innings, with the entirety of their offense concentrated in one sixth-inning burst and a final plate appearance in the eleventh.