MLB Recap · June 14, 2023

Chicago White Sox at Los Angeles Dodgers: Final Score & Recap

CWS8
Final
LAD4

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
CWS0110000338131
LAD000004000471

The Story

The Chicago White Sox stunned Dodger Stadium on June 14, 2023, defeating the Los Angeles Dodgers 8-4 in a game that unfolded almost entirely against pregame expectations. The DiamondIQ model opened with a 66 percent home win probability in favor of Los Angeles, but the White Sox methodically chipped away before delivering the decisive blows late, ultimately dropping that figure to zero.

The Dodgers appeared to seize control in the bottom of the sixth, where Jason Heyward's single off Gregory Santos produced a swing of plus 17.8 percent in home win probability, and Austin Barnes followed with a fielders choice off Aaron Bummer worth an additional plus 17.4 percent, giving Los Angeles a four-run frame that briefly made the outcome look settled. But the White Sox answered emphatically in the top of the eighth. Clint Frazier's single off Alex Vesia added 18.3 percent to Chicago's win probability, and moments later Jake Burger crushed a home run off Yency Almonte that alone shifted the outcome by plus 23.4 percent, swinging the game irreversibly in the White Sox's favor. The Dodgers mounted nothing in response, as Freddie Freeman's strikeout against Keynan Middleton in the bottom of the eighth represented a minus 16.5 percent drop in Los Angeles's remaining chances.

Burger finished as the top position player by WPA at plus 28.2 percent to go with a RE24 of plus 2.1, while Austin Barnes contributed plus 20.9 percent WPA and plus 1.8 RE24 from his sixth-inning production, and Luis Robert Jr. added plus 16.0 percent WPA with a plus 1.1 RE24. On the mound, Mike Clevinger led all pitchers with a plus 28.6 percent WPA, supported by Keynan Middleton at plus 23.3 percent. The White Sox finished with 13 hits to the Dodgers' seven, turning what looked like a comfortable Dodger home victory into an 8-4 road win.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025CWS bats firstFinalLAD win %CWS win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 65.9% → final 0%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Jake Burger Home Run
Top 8th · off Yency Almonte
+23.4%
Clint Frazier Single
Top 8th · off Alex Vesia
+18.3%
Jason Heyward Single
Bot 6th · off Gregory Santos
+17.8%
Austin Barnes Fielders Choice
Bot 6th · off Aaron Bummer
+17.4%
Freddie Freeman Strikeout
Bot 8th · off Keynan Middleton
-16.5%

Top Batters by WPA

Jake Burger+28.2%+2.1 RE24
Austin Barnes+20.9%+1.8 RE24
Luis Robert Jr.+16.0%+1.1 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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